Newcastle vs Liverpool: betting tips & best odds

Sharp reference: Pinnacle. "True odds" = the sharp price with the margin removed — the closest thing betting has to a real probability.

Newcastle finished last season in the Premier League on 49 points from 38 games (W14 D7 L17, 53 scored, 55 conceded), closing the campaign L-W-D-W-L. Liverpool finished last season in the Premier League on 60 points from 38 games (W17 D9 L12, 63 scored, 53 conceded), closing the campaign W-L-D-L-D.

The sharp market makes Liverpool the favourite at 42.9%. The price that stands out: the draw at 4.00 with Betfair Sportsbook — about 1.1% above the sharp market's true price. That's a value price, not a certainty: it means the odds are on the right side of the probability. You decide what to back.