The market's true probabilities (bookmaker margin stripped out), the best price on every outcome, and where the numbers say the value is — updated ahead of kick-off. 18+.
| Outcome | True chance | Best price | Bookmaker | Edge vs sharp |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal | 82.0% | 1.21 | Betfair | -0.8% |
| Draw | 11.9% | 8.50 | Tipico | 1.5% ⚑ value |
| Coventry | 6.1% | 20.00 | 1xBet | price check ⚠ |
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