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Ipswich vs Sunderland: betting tips & best odds

Premier LeagueSaturday, 22 August 2026 at 15:0039 bookmakers compared

The market's true probabilities (bookmaker margin stripped out), the best price on every outcome, and where the numbers say the value is — updated ahead of kick-off. 18+.

01
The market, priced honestly
Sharp reference: Pinnacle. "True odds" = the sharp price with the margin removed — the closest thing betting has to a real probability.
OutcomeTrue chanceBest priceBookmakerEdge vs sharp
Ipswich34.8%2.831xBet-1.4%
Draw28.9%3.50Betfair Sportsbook1.0% ⚑ value
Sunderland36.3%2.691xBet-2.3%
02
Form & last season
Ipswich finished last season in the Championship on 84 points from 46 games (W23 D15 L8, 80 scored, 47 conceded), closing the campaign D-W-D-D-W. Sunderland finished last season in the Premier League on 54 points from 38 games (W14 D12 L12, 42 scored, 48 conceded), closing the campaign L-D-D-W-W. Ipswich arrive from the Championship, so early-season prices lean heavily on how the market rates the step up — exactly the kind of fixture where bookmakers disagree with each other most.
03
Head to head — last 5 meetings
Ipswich 0-1 Sunderland · Jan 2021
Sunderland 2-0 Ipswich · Nov 2021
Ipswich 1-1 Sunderland · Dec 2021
Sunderland 1-2 Ipswich · Aug 2023
Ipswich 2-1 Sunderland · Jan 2024
04
The Touch Line read
The sharp market makes Sunderland the favourite at 36.3%. The price that stands out: the draw at 3.50 with Betfair Sportsbook — about 1.0% above the sharp market's true price. That's a value price, not a certainty: it means the odds are on the right side of the probability. You decide what to back.

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FAQ

Who is the favourite for Ipswich vs Sunderland?Stripping the bookmaker margin out of the sharpest market price (Pinnacle), Sunderland are the most likely outcome at about 36.3%. That's the market's true probability, not a prediction of certainty.
What are the best odds for Ipswich vs Sunderland?Best prices across 39 bookmakers right now: Ipswich 2.83 (1xBet), the draw 3.50 (Betfair Sportsbook), Sunderland 2.69 (1xBet). Odds move — always check the live price. 18+.
When do Ipswich play Sunderland?Kick-off is Saturday, 22 August 2026 at 15:00 (UK time), in the Premier League.
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