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Brighton vs Aston Villa: betting tips & best odds

Premier LeagueSunday, 23 August 2026 at 14:0039 bookmakers compared

The market's true probabilities (bookmaker margin stripped out), the best price on every outcome, and where the numbers say the value is — updated ahead of kick-off. 18+.

01
The market, priced honestly
Sharp reference: Pinnacle. "True odds" = the sharp price with the margin removed — the closest thing betting has to a real probability.
OutcomeTrue chanceBest priceBookmakerEdge vs sharp
Brighton42.1%2.341xBet-1.5%
Draw26.4%3.761xBet-0.7%
Aston Villa31.5%3.111xBet-2.0%
02
Form & last season
Brighton finished last season in the Premier League on 53 points from 38 games (W14 D11 L13, 52 scored, 46 conceded), closing the campaign W-L-W-L-L. Aston Villa finished last season in the Premier League on 65 points from 38 games (W19 D8 L11, 56 scored, 49 conceded), closing the campaign L-L-D-W-W.
03
Head to head — last 5 meetings
Brighton 1-0 Aston Villa · May 2024
Aston Villa 2-2 Brighton · Dec 2024
Brighton 0-3 Aston Villa · Apr 2025
Brighton 3-4 Aston Villa · Dec 2025
Aston Villa 1-0 Brighton · Feb 2026
04
The Touch Line read
The sharp market makes Brighton the favourite at 42.1%. Right now no bookmaker is out of line with the sharp price on this one — the value is in taking the BEST price on whichever outcome you fancy rather than the first price you see. The table above does that shopping for you.

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FAQ

Who is the favourite for Brighton vs Aston Villa?Stripping the bookmaker margin out of the sharpest market price (Pinnacle), Brighton are the most likely outcome at about 42.1%. That's the market's true probability, not a prediction of certainty.
What are the best odds for Brighton vs Aston Villa?Best prices across 39 bookmakers right now: Brighton 2.34 (1xBet), the draw 3.76 (1xBet), Aston Villa 3.11 (1xBet). Odds move — always check the live price. 18+.
When do Brighton play Aston Villa?Kick-off is Sunday, 23 August 2026 at 14:00 (UK time), in the Premier League.
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