The market's true probabilities (bookmaker margin stripped out), the best price on every outcome, and where the numbers say the value is — updated ahead of kick-off. 18+.
| Outcome | True chance | Best price | Bookmaker | Edge vs sharp |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portsmouth | 43.7% | 2.22 | Betfair | -2.9% |
| Draw | 27.5% | 3.60 | Sky Bet | -1.1% |
| QPR | 28.8% | 3.30 | Betfred (UK) | -5.0% |
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