Charlton vs Derby: betting tips & best odds

ChampionshipSaturday, 15 August 2026 at 15:0037 bookmakers compared

The market's true probabilities (bookmaker margin stripped out), the best price on every outcome, and where the numbers say the value is — updated ahead of kick-off. 18+.

The market, priced honestly

Sharp reference: Pinnacle. "True odds" = the sharp price with the margin removed — the closest thing betting has to a real probability.

Outcome	True chance	Best price	Bookmaker	Edge vs sharp
Charlton	37.1%	2.57	Nordic Bet	-4.6%
Draw	29.5%	3.40	Betfred (UK)	0.4%
Derby	33.4%	2.81	Nordic Bet	-6.3%

Form & last season

Charlton finished last season in the Championship on 53 points from 46 games (W13 D14 L19, 44 scored, 58 conceded), closing the campaign L-D-L-W-L. Derby finished last season in the Championship on 69 points from 46 games (W20 D9 L17, 67 scored, 59 conceded), closing the campaign L-W-L-W-L.

Head to head — last 5 meetings

Derby 2-0 Charlton · Feb 2023

Charlton 0-1 Derby · Feb 2024

Derby 1-2 Charlton · Feb 2024

Derby 1-1 Charlton · Sep 2025

Charlton 1-2 Derby · Jan 2026

The Touch Line read

The sharp market makes Charlton the favourite at 37.1%. Right now no bookmaker is out of line with the sharp price on this one — the value is in taking the BEST price on whichever outcome you fancy rather than the first price you see. The table above does that shopping for you.

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FAQ

Who is the favourite for Charlton vs Derby?Stripping the bookmaker margin out of the sharpest market price (Pinnacle), Charlton are the most likely outcome at about 37.1%. That's the market's true probability, not a prediction of certainty.

What are the best odds for Charlton vs Derby?Best prices across 37 bookmakers right now: Charlton 2.57 (Nordic Bet), the draw 3.40 (Betfred (UK)), Derby 2.81 (Nordic Bet). Odds move — always check the live price. 18+.

When do Charlton play Derby?Kick-off is Saturday, 15 August 2026 at 15:00 (UK time), in the Championship.

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